Board Thread:General Discussion/@comment-79.205.224.141-20150504121811/@comment-79.205.224.141-20150504203716

Yes I will most certainly share all results. As I said this is an early impression. All calculations now make a prediction that is to more then 97% corrent. To push that value to 99,5% I will need more data and it will take more time, since I have to also make the data accessible and usable in a decent format.

1. The survival rate was given for the 32 fights in which 28 fights had no procs within the first 2 rounds.

2. No - that is exactly what I am looking after. In case the question comes up - yes, my team is able to defend 5 GUR's without much trouble IF the proc-rates work as they are displayed.

3. I adressed only the phenomenon of the no-proc for round 1+2 against GUR/pay2play teams. This is a very small frame out of the overall data. There is more things that are very "weird" but needs more data to prove with more then 95% probability. There is a very very suspicious behaviours in fights against FAW's for example, regarding the occurance of FAW masskill-skill for example.

What I am very excited about is to make a direct comparison with a paying player (I do not pay for jewels).

4. The non-linear behaviour was directed at the apparent "debuff". For example ! (only theory: if the debuff lowers your procs in round 1: 80% round 2: 60% round 3: 10% - that would be "non-linear")

5. At the moment the "chance" that this happened by accident and I am just very very unlucky (also regarding the "weird" occurances against FAW's) is less then one in a million. But of course - there is much more samples needed. Also it is much work to gather the data and actually make it usable for calculations, since there is many things that have to be watched.

To adress your last point - what I also want to look into is whether this is not caused by GUR but by people who pay massive amounts. Sadly I can not look into the enemies account when GUR's appear. So it might even be that "normal" GUR teams of "regular" players do not show the same extraordinary occurances.

So to set this right: I did not want to generalise and put owning a GUR into one category with paying massive amounts of money. I hope also I get monkey GUR - I only need a second copy. I got the first as a lucky drop from an assist.