Talk:Summon/@comment-1.10.199.48-20160407092056/@comment-2098192-20160514060401

I made a monte carlo for this... USE AT YOUR OWN RISK. STATS ARE ONLY GOOD AS THE UNDERLYING ASSUMPTIONS. DON'T FORGET LUCK IS STILL LUCK, TOO.

You can check a monte carlo simulator of draws here: https://github.com/Drackzgull/Valkyrie-Crusade-Special-Summon-Simulator (it includes all summons despite the name).

100000 trial monte carlo per summon, stats for each draw are as follows (based on assumptions made in the simulation, which may be incorrect, use these numbers at your own risk.  1% base UR rate, 50% pickup on featured UR.  Draws with 2 URs like step up or box the assumption is you want 1 and not the other. continue drawing until you get 2 copies of target card):



Box is definitely more expensive from a median persepective, but you are risk capped. about 5% of the time you will spend more on any other summon than on box chasing that 2nd UR, but the those summons are on average cheaper.