Talk:Awakening/@comment-25229582-20141201230018/@comment-25435121-20141202205708

> by the 20th try, your chances of not getting GUR should be at around 1% :D Note that for GSR its at around 0.004%

No, by your 20th try, you still have only a 20% chance of success. Each try is irrelevant to the next. By theory of large number you may feel like you should have a success by try 20, but it's still an 80% fail rate. This is how casino's and lotteries trick people into spending all their cash. Just because you are on a losing streak doesn't guarantee a win in the near future. Your odds of success vs fail don't change the more you try.

Now with Ultimate Summons, that may be different since they improve your rate with each ticket. But in-game, I believe that's the only thing that has a higher success rate the more you try.