Talk:Awakening/@comment-115.188.178.121-20150104225105/@comment-25287173-20150119061833

^Thanks,

You're not doing two Awakenings in one run, you can't. You're doing ONE Awakening at a time and you are not increasing the probability each time > OK.. back to start again TT.. This is what we call independent events, occurrence of one does not affect the probability of the other. I agree that you could even fail 100times in a row, but it is unlikely for that to happen.

We dont know how the RNG algorithm for this awakening process works. But the 20% is there for a reason, we can use that to calculate the chance of success for overall situation. I say this is only raw theory, the practical experience may differs from one person to another. Some people succeed 3 times in a row for awoken GUR, while others failed 21 times in a row.. Let's say that we make a poll for awakening and make the statistics, if many players experiences far lower success rate from what written (20%), VC players could bombard nubee with complains.

For card analogy I admit that I am wrong. For the probability of pulling a jack (n) from standard deck in 2 tries (x) we use binomial probability distribution, so the right answer should be 0.142

Lets hope that my english reach you.. Hope you understand..