Talk:Awakening/@comment-115.188.178.121-20150104225105/@comment-125.236.192.117-20150110030230

If we flip a coin, the chances are 50% for a heads and 50% for a tails.

If we flip it twice, the chances still are 50% for both. If we think about different combinations in two flips we could get: (HH), (HT), (TT), and (TH). These four outcomes all have an equal chance of happening so therefore, have 1/4 chance of happening each. So, the chance of getting at least 1 head in 2 flips has become 3/4 and 1/4 of failing.

So, for awakening a SR, the chances are 40% of success and 60% of failures.

S S S S F F F F F F

If we do it twice: S S S S F F F F F F

S S S S F F F F F F

The theoretical probability of getting at least 1 success in 2 tries will be 16/25.

I understand and know that each one is an isolated event but, in theory, the chances of getting at least a Success will increase. I mean, it would be extremely unlucky to be getting 1000 straight failures.